The COVID-19 Situation Report is a data intensive report that tries to portray an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. If you would like to add additional metrics to this report, please send a mail to the author at .

Date of Report

Numbers as on EOD 

## [1] "2020-04-30"

COVID-19 Overall Stats (Worldwide)

Overall Confirmed Cases Count Worldwide 

## [1] "3256846 (up from 3193886 yesterday: 1.97 % increase)"

Overall Deaths Worldwide

Please note that the deaths is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] "233388 (up from 227638 yesterday: 2.53 % increase)"

Overall Fatality Rate Worldwide in %

Please note that the fatality rate is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] 7.17



In- Depth Country Wise Stats (With Atleast 1000 COVID-19 Confirmations)

Overall Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Country Wise (With Fatality Rates)

Country_Region TotalConfirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease TotalDeaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate
US 1069424 29515 2.84 62996 2029 3.33 5.89
Spain 213435 -23464 -9.90 24543 268 1.10 11.50
Italy 205463 1872 0.92 27967 285 1.03 13.61
United Kingdom 172481 6040 3.63 26842 676 2.58 15.56
France 167299 756 0.45 24410 289 1.20 14.59
Germany 163009 1470 0.91 6623 156 2.41 4.06
Turkey 120204 2615 2.22 3174 93 3.02 2.64
Russia 106498 7099 7.14 1073 101 10.39 1.01
Iran 94640 983 1.05 6028 71 1.19 6.37
Brazil 87187 7502 9.41 6006 493 8.94 6.89
China 83956 12 0.01 4637 0 0.00 5.52
Canada 54457 1592 3.01 3310 155 4.91 6.08
Belgium 48519 660 1.38 7594 93 1.24 15.65
Netherlands 39512 514 1.32 4811 84 1.78 12.18
Peru 36976 3045 8.97 1051 108 11.45 2.84
India 34863 1801 5.45 1154 75 6.95 3.31
Switzerland 29586 179 0.61 1737 21 1.22 5.87
Portugal 25045 540 2.20 989 16 1.64 3.95
Ecuador 24934 259 1.05 900 17 1.93 3.61
Saudi Arabia 22753 1351 6.31 162 5 3.18 0.71
Sweden 21092 790 3.89 2586 124 5.04 12.26
Ireland 20612 359 1.77 1232 42 3.53 5.98
Mexico 19224 1425 8.01 1859 127 7.33 9.67
Pakistan 16817 1292 8.32 385 42 12.24 2.29
Singapore 16169 528 3.38 15 1 7.14 0.09
Chile 16023 1138 7.65 227 11 5.09 1.42
Israel 15946 112 0.71 222 7 3.26 1.39
Austria 15452 50 0.32 584 4 0.69 3.78
Japan 14088 193 1.39 430 17 4.12 3.05
Belarus 14027 846 6.42 89 5 5.95 0.63
Qatar 13409 845 6.73 10 0 0.00 0.07
Poland 12877 237 1.88 644 20 3.21 5.00
United Arab Emirates 12481 552 4.63 105 7 7.14 0.84
Romania 12240 262 2.19 717 24 3.46 5.86
Korea, South 10774 9 0.08 248 1 0.40 2.30
Ukraine 10406 540 5.47 261 11 4.40 2.51
Indonesia 10118 347 3.55 792 8 1.02 7.83
Denmark 9356 150 1.63 452 9 2.03 4.83
Serbia 9009 2379 35.88 179 54 43.20 1.99
Philippines 8488 276 3.36 568 10 1.79 6.69
Norway 7738 28 0.36 210 3 1.45 2.71
Czechia 7682 103 1.36 236 9 3.96 3.07
Bangladesh 7667 564 7.94 168 5 3.07 2.19
Dominican Republic 6972 320 4.81 301 8 2.73 4.32
Australia 6766 14 0.21 93 2 2.20 1.37
Panama 6532 154 2.41 188 10 5.62 2.88
Colombia 6507 300 4.83 293 15 5.40 4.50
Malaysia 6002 57 0.96 102 2 2.00 1.70
South Africa 5647 297 5.55 103 0 0.00 1.82
Egypt 5537 269 5.11 392 12 3.16 7.08
Finland 4995 89 1.81 211 5 2.43 4.22
Argentina 4428 143 3.34 218 4 1.87 4.92
Morocco 4423 102 2.36 170 2 1.19 3.84
Kuwait 4024 284 7.59 26 2 8.33 0.65
Algeria 4006 158 4.11 450 6 1.35 11.23
Moldova 3897 126 3.34 116 5 4.50 2.98
Luxembourg 3784 15 0.40 90 1 1.12 2.38
Kazakhstan 3402 264 8.41 25 0 0.00 0.73
Bahrain 3040 119 4.07 8 0 0.00 0.26
Thailand 2954 7 0.24 54 0 0.00 1.83
Hungary 2775 48 1.76 312 12 4.00 11.24
Greece 2591 15 0.58 140 1 0.72 5.40
Oman 2348 74 3.25 11 1 10.00 0.47
Afghanistan 2171 232 11.96 64 4 6.67 2.95
Iraq 2085 82 4.09 93 1 1.09 4.46
Croatia 2076 14 0.68 69 2 2.99 3.32
Ghana 2074 403 24.12 17 1 6.25 0.82
Armenia 2066 134 6.94 32 2 6.67 1.55
Uzbekistan 2039 37 1.85 9 0 0.00 0.44
Nigeria 1932 204 11.81 58 7 13.73 3.00
Cameroon 1832 0 0.00 61 0 0.00 3.33
Azerbaijan 1804 38 2.15 24 1 4.35 1.33
Iceland 1797 0 0.00 10 0 0.00 0.56
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1757 80 4.77 69 4 6.15 3.93
Estonia 1689 23 1.38 52 2 4.00 3.08
Bulgaria 1506 59 4.08 66 2 3.12 4.38
Cuba 1501 34 2.32 61 3 5.17 4.06
Guinea 1495 144 10.66 7 0 0.00 0.47
New Zealand 1479 3 0.20 19 0 0.00 1.28
North Macedonia 1465 23 1.60 77 4 5.48 5.26
Slovenia 1429 11 0.78 91 2 2.25 6.37
Slovakia 1396 5 0.36 23 1 4.55 1.65
Lithuania 1385 10 0.73 45 0 0.00 3.25
Cote d’Ivoire 1275 37 2.99 14 0 0.00 1.10
Bolivia 1110 0 0.00 59 0 0.00 5.32
Djibouti 1089 12 1.11 2 0 0.00 0.18

In Depth USA Stats (State Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- States of USA (With Fatality Rates)

State Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
New York 304372 4681 1.56 23587 110 0.47 7.75 15646.08 1212.48 1 in 64
New Jersey 118652 2287 1.97 7228 457 6.75 6.09 13358.42 813.76 1 in 75
Massachusetts 62205 1940 3.22 3562 157 4.61 5.73 8951.00 512.55 1 in 112
Illinois 52918 2560 5.08 2355 140 6.32 4.45 4176.04 185.85 1 in 239
California 50130 1383 2.84 2031 85 4.37 4.05 1268.72 51.40 1 in 788
Pennsylvania 47971 1644 3.55 2475 102 4.30 5.16 3747.15 193.33 1 in 267
Michigan 41379 980 2.43 3789 119 3.24 9.16 4143.35 379.40 1 in 241
Florida 33690 497 1.50 1268 50 4.11 3.76 1568.60 59.04 1 in 638
Texas 28727 1470 5.39 812 58 7.69 2.83 990.73 28.00 1 in 1009
Louisiana 28001 341 1.23 1905 60 3.25 6.80 6023.28 409.78 1 in 166
Connecticut 27700 933 3.49 2257 88 4.06 8.15 7769.36 633.05 1 in 129
Georgia 26264 489 1.90 1132 31 2.82 4.31 2473.67 106.62 1 in 404
Maryland 21742 893 4.28 1140 62 5.75 5.24 3596.29 188.56 1 in 278
Ohio 18027 724 4.18 976 39 4.16 5.41 1542.21 83.50 1 in 648
Indiana 17835 653 3.80 1114 150 15.56 6.25 2649.20 165.47 1 in 377
Virginia 15847 885 5.91 552 30 5.75 3.48 1856.59 64.67 1 in 539
Colorado 15284 526 3.56 777 11 1.44 5.08 2654.05 134.93 1 in 377
Washington 14327 257 1.83 814 13 1.62 5.68 1881.44 106.90 1 in 532
North Carolina 10754 574 5.64 406 24 6.28 3.78 1025.35 38.71 1 in 975
Tennessee 10735 369 3.56 199 4 2.05 1.85 1571.01 29.12 1 in 637
Rhode Island 8621 374 4.53 266 15 5.98 3.09 8137.92 251.09 1 in 123
Missouri 7818 158 2.06 350 12 3.55 4.48 1273.82 57.03 1 in 785
Arizona 7655 446 6.19 320 12 3.90 4.18 1005.27 42.02 1 in 995
Iowa 7145 302 4.41 162 14 9.46 2.27 2264.61 51.35 1 in 442
Alabama 7088 176 2.55 272 16 6.25 3.84 1445.59 55.47 1 in 692
Wisconsin 6854 334 5.12 316 8 2.60 4.61 1177.17 54.27 1 in 849
Mississippi 6815 246 3.74 261 11 4.40 3.83 2289.87 87.70 1 in 437
South Carolina 6095 213 3.62 244 13 5.63 4.00 1183.79 47.39 1 in 845
Minnesota 5136 492 10.59 343 24 7.52 6.68 910.70 60.82 1 in 1098
Nevada 5053 119 2.41 243 13 5.65 4.81 1640.50 78.89 1 in 610
Delaware 4734 79 1.70 152 8 5.56 3.21 4861.55 156.10 1 in 206
Kentucky 4708 171 3.77 240 6 2.56 5.10 1053.79 53.72 1 in 949
Utah 4672 175 3.89 46 1 2.22 0.98 1457.29 14.35 1 in 686
Kansas 4413 574 14.95 134 0 0.00 3.04 1514.77 46.00 1 in 660
District of Columbia 4323 217 5.28 224 19 9.27 5.18 6125.41 317.39 1 in 163
Nebraska 4281 430 11.17 70 14 25.00 1.64 2213.08 36.19 1 in 452
Oklahoma 3618 145 4.18 222 8 3.74 6.14 914.34 56.10 1 in 1094
New Mexico 3411 198 6.16 123 11 9.82 3.61 1626.74 58.66 1 in 615
Arkansas 3281 88 2.76 61 4 7.02 1.86 1087.21 20.21 1 in 920
Oregon 2510 64 2.62 103 2 1.98 4.10 595.11 24.42 1 in 1680
South Dakota 2449 76 3.20 17 4 30.77 0.69 2768.30 19.22 1 in 361
New Hampshire 2146 88 4.28 72 12 20.00 3.36 1578.28 52.95 1 in 634
Idaho 1984 32 1.64 60 0 0.00 3.02 1107.10 33.48 1 in 903
Puerto Rico 1539 106 7.40 92 6 6.98 5.98 481.89 28.81 1 in 2075
West Virginia 1125 15 1.35 41 3 7.89 3.64 629.49 22.94 1 in 1589
Maine 1095 39 3.69 53 1 1.92 4.84 814.60 39.43 1 in 1228
North Dakota 1067 34 3.29 19 0 0.00 1.78 1400.15 24.93 1 in 714
Vermont 866 4 0.46 49 2 4.26 5.66 1387.84 78.53 1 in 721
Hawaii 618 5 0.82 16 0 0.00 2.59 436.48 11.30 1 in 2291
Wyoming 559 14 2.57 7 0 0.00 1.25 965.86 12.09 1 in 1035
Montana 453 2 0.44 16 0 0.00 3.53 423.85 14.97 1 in 2359
Alaska 355 0 0.00 9 0 0.00 2.54 485.27 12.30 1 in 2061

US Tested- Confirmed Funnel (All States)

State Level Figures

State Tested Confirmed ConfirmationRate TestsPerMillPopl
New York 900636 304372 33.80 46296.72
New Jersey 247918 118652 47.86 27911.81
Massachusetts 275647 62205 22.57 39664.28
Illinois 269867 52918 19.61 21296.62
California 625337 50130 8.02 15826.42
Pennsylvania 221365 47971 21.67 17291.45
Michigan 180267 41379 22.95 18050.42
Florida 382405 33690 8.81 17804.72
Texas 314790 28727 9.13 10856.37
Louisiana 161309 28001 17.36 34699.11
Connecticut 97133 27700 28.52 27244.09
Georgia 149044 26264 17.62 14037.68
Maryland 114359 21742 19.01 18915.82
Ohio 133890 18027 13.46 11454.26
Indiana 94998 17835 18.77 14110.95
Virginia 91509 15847 17.32 10720.96
Colorado 71059 15284 21.51 12339.34
Washington 187800 14327 7.63 24662.20
North Carolina 128036 10754 8.40 12207.76
Tennessee 168549 10735 6.37 24666.28
Rhode Island 63710 8621 13.53 60140.03
Missouri 80687 7818 9.69 13146.71
Arizona 71786 7655 10.66 9427.05
Iowa 42667 7145 16.75 13523.31
Alabama 87196 7088 8.13 17783.54
Wisconsin 76248 6854 8.99 13095.55
Mississippi 66340 6815 10.27 22290.55
South Carolina 56512 6095 10.79 10975.94
Minnesota 70276 5136 7.31 12461.10
Nevada 41986 5053 12.03 13631.13
Delaware 21820 4734 21.70 22407.89
Kentucky 54101 4708 8.70 12109.44
Utah 108501 4672 4.31 33843.55
Kansas 31626 4413 13.95 10855.68
District of Columbia 20079 4323 21.53 28450.62
Nebraska 25321 4281 16.91 13089.79
Oklahoma 63422 3618 5.70 16027.92
New Mexico 65085 3411 5.24 31039.73
Arkansas 48379 3281 6.78 16031.08
Oregon 56032 2510 4.48 13284.85
South Dakota 17028 2449 14.38 19248.09
New Hampshire 21921 2146 9.79 16121.81
Idaho 28693 1984 6.91 16011.14
Puerto Rico 10852 1539 14.18 3397.95
West Virginia 44541 1125 2.53 24922.96
Maine 20641 1095 5.30 15355.46
North Dakota 27460 1067 3.89 36033.81
Vermont 15652 866 5.53 25083.78
Hawaii 30640 618 2.02 21640.37
Wyoming 9446 559 5.92 16321.13
Montana 13914 453 3.26 13018.61
Alaska 19119 355 1.86 26135.10

In Depth India Stats (State Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths (States of India)

State Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Recovered RecoveryRate Active Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate
Maharashtra 10498 583 5.88 1773 16.89 8266 459 27 6.25 4.37
Gujarat 4395 313 7.67 613 13.95 3568 214 17 8.63 4.87
Delhi 3515 76 2.21 1094 31.12 2362 59 3 5.36 1.68
Madhya Pradesh 2625 65 2.54 482 18.36 2006 137 7 5.38 5.22
Rajasthan 2582 58 2.30 893 34.59 1631 58 1 1.75 2.25
Tamil Nadu 2323 161 7.45 1258 54.15 1038 27 0 0.00 1.16
Uttar Pradesh 2211 77 3.61 551 24.92 1620 40 1 2.56 1.81
Andhra Pradesh 1403 71 5.33 321 22.88 1051 31 0 0.00 2.21
Telangana 1038 22 2.17 442 42.58 568 28 3 12.00 2.70
West Bengal 795 37 4.88 139 17.48 623 33 11 50.00 4.15
Jammu and Kashmir 614 33 5.68 216 35.18 390 8 0 0.00 1.30
Karnataka 565 31 5.81 229 40.53 314 22 1 4.76 3.89
Kerala 498 2 0.40 383 76.91 111 4 0 0.00 0.80
Punjab 480 105 28.00 104 21.67 356 20 1 5.26 4.17
Bihar 425 22 5.46 84 19.76 339 2 0 0.00 0.47
Haryana 339 28 9.00 235 69.32 100 4 1 33.33 1.18
Odisha 143 15 11.72 41 28.67 101 1 0 0.00 0.70
Jharkhand 110 3 2.80 19 17.27 88 3 0 0.00 2.73
Chandigarh 74 6 8.82 18 24.32 56 0 0 NaN 0.00
Uttarakhand 57 2 3.64 36 63.16 21 0 0 NaN 0.00
Assam 43 5 13.16 29 67.44 13 1 0 0.00 2.33
Chhattisgarh 40 2 5.26 36 90.00 4 0 0 NaN 0.00
Himachal Pradesh 40 0 0.00 28 70.00 7 2 0 0.00 5.00
Andaman and Nicobar Islands 33 0 0.00 16 48.48 17 0 0 NaN 0.00
Ladakh 22 0 0.00 17 77.27 5 0 0 NaN 0.00
Meghalaya 12 0 0.00 0 0.00 11 1 0 0.00 8.33
Puducherry 8 0 0.00 5 62.50 3 0 0 NaN 0.00
Goa 7 0 0.00 7 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Manipur 2 0 0.00 2 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Tripura 2 0 0.00 2 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Arunachal Pradesh 1 0 0.00 1 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Mizoram 1 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 0 0 NaN 0.00
Dadra and Nagar Haveli 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Daman and Diu 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Lakshadweep 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Nagaland 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Sikkim 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN

In Depth Italy Stats (Region Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Regions of Italy (With Fatality and Confirmation Rates)

Region Swabs Confirmations NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease ConfirmationRate HospitalizedWithSymptoms IntensiveCare ActiveCases Deceased FatalityRate
Lombardia 376943 75732 598 0.80 20.09 6834 605 36211 13772 18.19
Piemonte 156534 26289 428 1.66 16.79 2621 199 15493 3066 11.66
Emilia-Romagna 182857 25436 259 1.03 13.91 2146 206 9563 3551 13.96
Veneto 349227 17960 135 0.76 5.14 1012 114 8147 1459 8.12
Toscana 141849 9352 60 0.65 6.59 546 126 5584 842 9.00
Liguria 48762 7993 104 1.32 16.39 676 69 3551 1167 14.60
Lazio 137596 6616 71 1.08 4.81 1417 115 4468 441 6.67
Marche 59488 6247 37 0.60 10.50 465 48 3210 906 14.50
Campania 76108 4423 13 0.29 5.81 484 29 2773 359 8.12
P.A. Trento 36534 4116 47 1.16 11.27 158 21 1370 418 10.16
Puglia 62460 4072 43 1.07 6.52 439 42 2949 415 10.19
Sicilia 79669 3166 26 0.83 3.97 408 33 2157 235 7.42
Friuli Venezia Giulia 67930 3025 15 0.50 4.45 109 11 1170 289 9.55
Abruzzo 37996 2930 7 0.24 7.71 306 16 1915 320 10.92
P.A. Bolzano 41297 2518 11 0.44 6.10 126 13 802 275 10.92
Umbria 36459 1392 1 0.07 3.82 68 16 233 67 4.81
Sardegna 24754 1295 5 0.39 5.23 87 16 744 116 8.96
Valle d’Aosta 7631 1128 4 0.36 14.78 76 4 89 137 12.15
Calabria 35903 1108 6 0.54 3.09 105 6 740 86 7.76
Basilicata 12774 367 1 0.27 2.87 49 4 192 25 6.81
Molise 6446 298 1 0.34 4.62 17 1 190 21 7.05

In Depth Canada Stats (With Province Level Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Provinces of Canada (With Fatality Rates)

Province Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
Quebec 27550 940 3.53 1859 97 5.51 6.75 3226.87 217.74 1 in 310
Ontario 17395 417 2.46 1205 52 4.51 6.93 1182.38 81.91 1 in 846
Alberta 5355 190 3.68 90 3 3.45 1.68 1213.42 20.39 1 in 824
British Columbia 2112 25 1.20 111 2 1.83 5.26 413.23 21.72 1 in 2420
Nova Scotia 947 12 1.28 28 0 0.00 2.96 968.84 28.65 1 in 1032
Saskatchewan 389 6 1.57 7 1 16.67 1.80 329.20 5.92 1 in 3038
Manitoba 277 2 0.73 6 0 0.00 2.17 201.09 4.36 1 in 4973
Newfoundland and Labrador 258 0 0.00 3 0 0.00 1.16 494.85 5.75 1 in 2021
New Brunswick 118 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 151.28 0.00 1 in 6610
Prince Edward Island 27 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 170.72 0.00 1 in 5858
Yukon 11 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 267.78 0.00 1 in 3734
Northwest Territories 5 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 111.35 0.00 1 in 8981

In Depth China Stats (With Province Level Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Provinces of China (With Fatality Rates)

Province Confirmed Deaths FatalityRate
Hubei 68128 4512 6.62
Guangdong 1588 8 0.50
Henan 1276 22 1.72
Zhejiang 1268 1 0.08
Hong Kong 1037 4 0.39
Hunan 1019 4 0.39
Anhui 991 6 0.61
Heilongjiang 944 13 1.38
Jiangxi 937 1 0.11
Shandong 787 7 0.89
Jiangsu 653 0 0.00
Shanghai 652 7 1.07
Beijing 593 9 1.52
Chongqing 579 6 1.04
Sichuan 561 3 0.53
Fujian 356 1 0.28
Hebei 328 6 1.83
Shaanxi 306 3 0.98
Guangxi 254 2 0.79
Inner Mongolia 201 1 0.50
Shanxi 197 0 0.00
Tianjin 190 3 1.58
Yunnan 185 2 1.08
Hainan 168 6 3.57
Guizhou 147 2 1.36
Liaoning 146 2 1.37
Gansu 139 2 1.44
Jilin 111 1 0.90
Xinjiang 76 3 3.95
Ningxia 75 0 0.00
Macau 45 0 0.00
Qinghai 18 0 0.00
Tibet 1 0 0.00

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most confirmed COVID-19 cases as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Confirmed Cases Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Confirmed Cases Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most COVID-19 deaths as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Death Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Death Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Epidemic Curve: Delta in the past 24 hrs (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various countries. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 20 countries in the world as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Delta in Confirmed Cases

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Delta in Deaths

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Measuring Outbreak Velocity: 5 Day Lagging Average Doubling Time (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The velocity of an outbreak is determined by a construct known as doubling time. This value describes the number of days, on average, required for the number of cases to double in a given area. For our analysis we use average doubling time, which can be defined as the number of days, on average, required for the average number of COVID-19 cases to double in a given area.

This measure can describe COVID-19 behavior worldwide, in a country, or even in a smaller region such as a state. For our analysis, we will discuss average doubling time at a national level for the top 20 most affected countries.

Below, we have calculated average doubling time for several nations, on a trailing, rolling 5-day basisbased on today’s case values. A decline in average doubling time indicates that the COVID-19 outbreak (confirmation rate) is accelerating (average cases double in fewer days), while an increase of average doubling time indicates that the outbreak is slowing.

Ideally, when social distancing and lockdowns are implemented aggressively in a country and after some period of delay, doubling times should begin to increase in a matter of days, weeks, or months, depending upon the severity of the epidemic and the degree of social distancing achievable.

Given the fact that many countries across the world have already enacted or implemented social distancing measures, this is why one should be cautious not to extrapolate COVID-19 growth rates from trailing statistics.

5 Day Lagging Avg Doubling Time of Confirmations

Confirmed Cases and Deaths Per Million Population and Infection Odds

This metric confirmed cases per million population and deaths per million population shows the extent to which the disease has spread with respect to the population of the country. The metric Infection Odds shows 1 in how many people are infected with COVID-19 in the corresponding country.

For the top 20 countries with most confirmed cases excluding cruise ships

Country_Region ConfirmedCasesPerMillionPopl DeathsPerMillionPopl InfectionOdds
US 3268.41 192.53 1 in 306
Spain 4574.26 526.00 1 in 219
Italy 3397.21 462.42 1 in 294
United Kingdom 2596.04 404.00 1 in 385
France 2497.37 364.38 1 in 400
Germany 1968.95 80.00 1 in 508
Turkey 1487.49 39.28 1 in 672
Russia 737.01 7.43 1 in 1357
Iran 1166.09 74.27 1 in 858
Brazil 416.56 28.70 1 in 2401
China 60.57 3.35 1 in 16509
Canada 1448.71 88.06 1 in 690
Belgium 4256.05 666.14 1 in 235
Netherlands 2299.88 280.03 1 in 435
Peru 1149.39 32.67 1 in 870
India 26.04 0.86 1 in 38407
Switzerland 3452.28 202.68 1 in 290
Portugal 2433.92 96.11 1 in 411
Ecuador 1500.24 54.15 1 in 667
Saudi Arabia 690.74 4.92 1 in 1448

US Detailed State and County Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the state/ county level in USA.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in US States

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various US states. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 20 states in USA as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in US States

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Top 50 US Counties with the Highest Cases and Deaths

All NYC boroughs are mentioned together as New York County

County State Confirmations Deaths FatalityRate
New York New York 167478 18069 10.79
Cook Illinois 36513 1607 4.40
Nassau New York 35854 1700 4.74
Suffolk New York 33664 1177 3.50
Westchester New York 28970 1031 3.56
Los Angeles California 23220 1111 4.78
Wayne Michigan 16729 1782 10.65
Bergen New Jersey 15610 1136 7.28
Hudson New Jersey 14916 798 5.35
Philadelphia Pennsylvania 14468 541 3.74
Middlesex Massachusetts 14208 845 5.95
Essex New Jersey 13682 1186 8.67
Suffolk Massachusetts 12890 524 4.07
Union New Jersey 12578 690 5.49
Passaic New Jersey 12449 573 4.60
Miami-Dade Florida 12063 352 2.92
Middlesex New Jersey 11715 571 4.87
Rockland New York 11708 511 4.36
Fairfield Connecticut 11294 810 7.17
Essex Massachusetts 8673 448 5.17
Orange New York 8650 320 3.70
New Haven Connecticut 7536 512 6.79
Oakland Michigan 7267 696 9.58
Orleans Louisiana 6452 434 6.73
Ocean New Jersey 6375 397 6.23
Harris Texas 6356 114 1.79
Providence Rhode Island 6290 0 0.00
King Washington 6207 447 7.20
Jefferson Louisiana 6197 346 5.58
Prince George’s Maryland 6043 240 3.97
Monmouth New Jersey 6033 341 5.65
Norfolk Massachusetts 5896 499 8.46
Hartford Connecticut 5601 698 12.46
Worcester Massachusetts 5550 265 4.77
Marion Indiana 5530 328 5.93
Macomb Michigan 5513 603 10.94
Morris New Jersey 5287 413 7.81
Plymouth Massachusetts 5083 285 5.61
Broward Florida 4953 185 3.74
District of Columbia District of Columbia 4323 224 5.18
Montgomery Pennsylvania 4307 351 8.15
Montgomery Maryland 4300 255 5.93
Riverside California 4031 149 3.70
Clark Nevada 3979 202 5.08
Maricopa Arizona 3972 145 3.65
Mercer New Jersey 3937 231 5.87
Hampden Massachusetts 3777 373 9.88
Delaware Pennsylvania 3696 235 6.36
Fairfax Virginia 3611 134 3.71
Bristol Massachusetts 3580 172 4.80

Overall US Choropleth Map

Choropleths are an ideal way to visualize the past/ current COVID-19 hotspots within a country. The below are the hotspots in the US.

County level COVID-19 Confirmations Map

Canada Detailed Province Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the province level in Canada.

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in the most affected Canadian provinces- Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in Canadian Provinces

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in Canadian Provinces

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Data Sources

CSSEGISandData, The NY Times, amodm/api-covid19-in and pcm-dpc